(keitai-l) Forrester: WI-FI is going to crash

From: Giovanni Bertani <giovanni.bertani_at_exsense.com>
Date: 06/20/03
Message-Id: <CCAC5A8A-A313-11D7-AE3A-003065BA6D3A@exsense.com>
Some interesting ideas:

"According to Forrester, there will be just 53 million
Wi-Fi-enabled laptops and personal digital assistants
(PDAs) in use in Europe by 2008. In addition, only
7.7 million people who use them will be prepared
to pay to use Wi-Fi wireless hot spots. Wi-Fi networks
create a 300-foot zone where laptops can wirelessly
connect to the Web or to a corporate computer network.

"Simply, basic constraints on the number of devices in
use, and users' willingness to pay a significant amount
for Internet access on the go, will limit public WLAN users
to numbers well short of planned networks' carrying
capacity," Godell predicted. "Additionally, the sky-high
costs of providing Internet backhaul from hot spots
will kill many hot-spot business cases."

  Forrester predicts that Bluetooth, a rival short-range wireless
technology, will be much more widespread than Wi-Fi, and
expects that there will be 286 million Bluetooth-enabled
devices in Europe by 2008."

Full text on C-NET:

http://news.com.com/2100-1039_3-1019111.html?tag=lh

I personally agree on most on the points. There is
too much hype...

What do you think?

Giovanni

________________________________________________________
giovanni bertani   mobile vas consultant and analyst
exsense verona italy 
   
Received on Fri Jun 20 14:42:58 2003